Haku
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Weaker global economic activity one of the key risks
(27.01.2017)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2016
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2016
Exports will finally begin to grow in response to export demand, with net exports gradually beginning to support growth alongside domestic demand. However, one of the key risks to the forecast is a weaker-than-forecast ...
Uncertainty in global economy has increased
(02.10.2015)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2015
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2015
Uncertainty about the condition of the global economy increased in August–September. Concerns relate particularly to China, whose decelerating growth has unnerved the markets. In the Bank of Finland forecast, global growth ...
Forecast risks predominantly on the downside
(18.12.2015)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2015
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2015
Growth in corporate investment and exports is expected to be reflected in slowly improving output in the immediate years ahead. Nevertheless, owing to increased uncertainties in the global economy, there is a possibility ...
Forecast risks
(18.05.2015)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2015
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2015
There is increased uncertainty surrounding the growth and inflation forecasts, yet this time upside risks are also present. On one hand, low oil prices and long-term interest rates could boost global economic growth more ...
Forecast for the global economy : Upswing in the global economy
(28.09.2017)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2017
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2017
Global economic growth is broadly based and brisk in 2017. The Bank of Finland foresees global growth strengthening to 3.5% in 2017 and continuing at well over 3% throughout 2018–2019. World trade is experiencing a surge. ...
Russia’s economy and imports to contract further
(13.04.2016)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2016
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2016
In the wake of a second export price shock late last year, the Bank of Finland now expects Russian GDP to contract 3% in 2016. Our new forecast assumes the price of oil averages slightly over $40 a barrel this year, about ...
Will euro area inflation subside without a recession and excessive tightening of financing conditions?
(25.10.2023)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2023
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2023
Inflationary pressures have proven persistent, but have eased as a result of tighter monetary policy and a fall in energy prices. The crucial question now is whether inflation can be brought down without disruption to the ...
From shallow recession to moderate growth
(05.07.2023)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 2/2023
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 2/2023
The Finnish economy will contract by 0.4% in 2023 as inflation, tighter monetary policy and weak export demand weigh on growth across a broad front. Inflation is nevertheless falling this year, and this is already improving ...