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Is the euro area at risk of Japanese-style deflation?
(20.03.2015)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2015
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2015
Euro area inflation has long been below the European Central Bank’s objective for price stability and has continued to slow in recent months. This has given rise to heightened concerns that the euro area could soon be ...
Uncertainty in global economy has increased
(02.10.2015)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2015
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2015
Uncertainty about the condition of the global economy increased in August–September. Concerns relate particularly to China, whose decelerating growth has unnerved the markets. In the Bank of Finland forecast, global growth ...
Forecast risks
(18.05.2015)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2015
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2015
There is increased uncertainty surrounding the growth and inflation forecasts, yet this time upside risks are also present. On one hand, low oil prices and long-term interest rates could boost global economic growth more ...
Corona crisis has increased the risk of stagnation in the euro area
(09.11.2020)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2020
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2020
Stagnation is a period of slow economic growth often characterised by low interest rates and low inflation. It is most commonly associated with the development of the Japanese economy since the early 1990s. In the euro ...
A fragile recovery from the pandemic crisis has begun
(09.11.2020)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2020
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2020
The global economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic intensified in March 2020. The health crisis and the lockdown measures necessary to contain the epidemic led to an exceptionally sudden and sharp decline in ...
Forecast for the global economy : Upswing in the global economy
(28.09.2017)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2017
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2017
Global economic growth is broadly based and brisk in 2017. The Bank of Finland foresees global growth strengthening to 3.5% in 2017 and continuing at well over 3% throughout 2018–2019. World trade is experiencing a surge. ...
Bank of Finland forecast : Economic growth has passed its cyclical peak
(10.01.2019)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2018
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2018
Finnish growth will continue, but at a slower pace than in recent years. There is no returning to the growth rate that preceded the financial crisis.
Expansionary economic policy boosts growth
(27.04.2018)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2018
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2018
The growth outlook for the global economy is strong. Growth is supported by a synchronized expansion in several key economic regions, accommodative monetary policy, and fiscal stimulus in the United States. China continues ...
Will euro area inflation subside without a recession and excessive tightening of financing conditions?
(25.10.2023)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2023
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 4/2023
Inflationary pressures have proven persistent, but have eased as a result of tighter monetary policy and a fall in energy prices. The crucial question now is whether inflation can be brought down without disruption to the ...
From shallow recession to moderate growth
(05.07.2023)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 2/2023
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 2/2023
The Finnish economy will contract by 0.4% in 2023 as inflation, tighter monetary policy and weak export demand weigh on growth across a broad front. Inflation is nevertheless falling this year, and this is already improving ...