Haku
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State dependence of monetary policy across business, credit and interest rate cycles
(06.09.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2019
We investigate how the business, credit and interest rate cycles affect the monetary transmission mechanism, using state-dependent local projection methods and data from 18 advanced economies. We exploit the time-series ...
Inflationary household uncertainty shocks
(14.02.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2022
I construct a novel measure of household uncertainty based on survey data for European countries. I show that household uncertainty shocks do not universally behave like negative demand shocks. Notably, household uncertainty ...
On robustness of average inflation targeting
(21.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021
This paper considers the performance of average inflation targeting (AIT) policy in a New Keynesian model with adaptive learning agents. Our analysis raises concerns regarding robustness of AIT when agents have imperfect ...
Monetary policy rules and the effective lower bound in the Euro area
(08.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2021
We analyze the economic performance of different monetary policy strategies, or rules, in a low interest rate environment, using simulations with a DSGE model which has been estimated for the euro area. We study how often ...
Human frictions in the transmission of economic policy
(09.09.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2021
Many consumers below the top of the distribution of a representative population by cognitive abilities barely react to monetary and fiscal policies that aim to stimulate consumption and borrowing, even when they are ...
Determinacy and E-stability with interest rate rules at the zero lower bound
(15.11.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2021
We evaluate and compare alternative monetary policy rules, namely average inflation targeting, price level targeting, and traditional inflation targeting rules, in a standard New Keynesian model that features recurring, ...
Forward guidance with unanchored expectations
(31.08.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021
We study zero interest-rate policy in response to a large negative demand shock when long-run expectations can fall over time. Because falling expectations make monetary policy less effective by raising real interest rates, ...
Effective Policy Communication : Targets versus Instruments
(10.11.2020)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2020
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2020
Communication targeting households and firms has become a stand-alone policy tool of many central banks. But which forms of communication, if any, can reach ordinary people and manage their economic expectations effectively? ...
U.S. Macroeconomic Policy Evaluation in an Open Economy Context using Wavelet Decomposed Optimal Control Methods
(10.07.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2019
It is widely recognized that the policy objectives of fiscal and monetary policymakers usually have different time horizons, and this feature may not be captured by traditional econometric techniques. In this paper, we ...
The role of expectations in the inflation process in the euro area
(01.03.2005)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2005
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2005
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation expectations affect both inflation and output,and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect ...