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Monetary policy and stock market valuation
(18.09.2020)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2020
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2020
This paper estimates the effect of monetary policy on the term structure of stock market risk premia. Stock market risk premia are solved using analysts’ dividend forecasts and dividend future prices. Although risk-free ...
Asymmetric effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy when rates are low
(15.03.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2023
We study asymmetric inflation effects of both conventional and unconventional monetary policy in the euro area during the period of low nominal interest rates. We find that rate cuts are inflationary also during low interest ...
Monetary policy transmission below zero
(27.06.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2023
This study considers the pass-through of different ECB monetary policy measures to bank corporate lending rates of different maturities during 2010–2020. We find changes in the pass-through as policy rates first dip below ...
Demographic aging and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve
(26.10.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2023
I document a statistical link between old-age dependency ratios and average markups. I propose that a mechanism whereby households develop deep habits in consumption as they age could explain this feature of the data. I ...
Assessing targeted longer-term refinancing operations : identification through search intensity
(21.09.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2023
We evaluate the effects of targeted credit injections of the central bank in the euro area. The aggregate policy impacts of credit easing on financial markets, bank lending and key macroeconomic variables are measured with ...
Endogenous technology, scarring and fiscal policy
(12.12.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2022
This paper studies fiscal policy in a New Keynesian DSGE model with endogenous technology growth in which scarring can occur endogenously through hysteresis effects in TFP. Both demand- and supply-driven recessions can ...
Lower for longer under endogenous technology growth
(31.03.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2022
This paper studies monetary policy strategies under endogenous technology dynamics and low r∗. Endogenous growth strengthens the gains from make-up strategies relative to inflation targeting, especially if policy space is ...
Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?
(10.09.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2019
We provide suffcient conditions for when a rational expectations structural model predicts bounded responses of endogenous variables to forward guidance announcements. The conditions coincide with a special case of the ...
Monetary policy rules : model uncertainty meets design limits
(19.09.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2023
Optimal monetary policy studies typically rely on a single structural model and identification of model-specific rules that minimize the unconditional volatilities of inflation and real activity. In our proposed approach, ...