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Precision of Public Information Disclosures, Banks’ Stability and Welfare
(04.03.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2021
We study the optimal precision of public information disclosures about banks assets quality. In our model the precision of information affects banks' cost of raising funding and asset profile riskiness. In an imperfectly ...
When uncertainty decouples expected and unexpected losses
(26.01.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2022
A parsimonious extension of a well-known portfolio credit-risk model allows us to study a salient stylized fact – abrupt switches between high- and low-loss phases– from a risk-management perspective. As uncertainty about ...
Forecasting expected and unexpected losses
(21.12.2020)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 18/2020
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 18/2020
Extending a standard credit-risk model illustrates that a single factor can drive both expected losses and the extent to which they may be exceeded in extreme scenarios, ie “unexpected losses.” This leads us to develop a ...
Lone (Loan) Wolf Pack Risk
(16.03.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2023
This paper proposes an early-warning bank risk measure based on the syndicate concentration of recent syndicated loans that a bank participates in. At the bank level, higher values of the measure predict greater risks ...
Stress test precision and bank competition
(02.02.2024)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2024
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2024
We study a competitive banking sector in which banks choose the level of risk of their asset portfolios and, upon the public disclosure of stress test results, raise funding by promising investors a repayment. We show that ...