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Luotonanto-olosuhteet heijastavat aikaisessa vaiheessa talouden käänteitä Suomessa
(31.10.2022)
Euro & talous. Analyysi
Euro & talous. Analyysi
Luotonanto-olosuhteita kuvaavat luottopolitiikka ja lainaehdot vaikuttavat pankkien luotonantoon ja voivat heijastaa talouden yleistä tilaa. Tietoja luottojen kysynnästä ja tarjonnasta Suomessa saadaan neljä kertaa vuodessa ...
Voidaanko pankkikriisejä ennustaa?
(02.11.2022)
Euro & talous. Analyysi
Euro & talous. Analyysi
Suomessa uudistettiin vuonna 2022 makrovakauspolitiikkaa ohjaavia riskimittareita, jotka varoittavat pankkikriisin todennäköisyyden kasvusta. Mittareilla arvioidaan rahoitussyklin vaihetta ja havainnoidaan merkkejä syklin ...
Growing like Germany : Local public debt, local banks, low private investment
(22.08.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2022
Over 2010-2016, municipal debt in Germany crowded out private investment worth 1 percent of GDP. Forced to lend to municipalities by their statutes, local public banks compensated for declining municipal-debt yields by ...
Bank instability: Interbank linkages and the role of disclosure
(14.07.2020)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2020
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2020
We study the impact of disclosure about bank fundamentals on depositors’ behavior in the presence (and absence) of economic linkages between financial institutions. Using a controlled laboratory environment, we identify ...
Are bank capital requirements optimally set? Evidence from researchers’ views
(02.06.2020)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2020
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2020
We survey 149 leading academic researchers on bank capital regulation. The median (average) respondent prefers a 10% (15%) minimum non-risk-weighted equity-to-assets ratio, which is considerably higher than the current ...
Precision of Public Information Disclosures, Banks’ Stability and Welfare
(04.03.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2021
We study the optimal precision of public information disclosures about banks assets quality. In our model the precision of information affects banks' cost of raising funding and asset profile riskiness. In an imperfectly ...
When uncertainty decouples expected and unexpected losses
(26.01.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2022
A parsimonious extension of a well-known portfolio credit-risk model allows us to study a salient stylized fact – abrupt switches between high- and low-loss phases– from a risk-management perspective. As uncertainty about ...
Forecasting expected and unexpected losses
(21.12.2020)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 18/2020
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 18/2020
Extending a standard credit-risk model illustrates that a single factor can drive both expected losses and the extent to which they may be exceeded in extreme scenarios, ie “unexpected losses.” This leads us to develop a ...
Does a financial crisis change a bank's exposure to risk? A difference-in-differences approach
(28.05.2021)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2021
BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2021
Can a major financial crisis trigger changes in a bank’s risk-taking behavior? Using the 2008 Global Financial Crisis as a quasi-natural experiment and a difference-in-differences approach, I examine whether the worst ...
Political cycles and bank lending in Russia
(25.03.2020)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2020
BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2020
State-owned banks tend to increase lending before elections for the purpose of boosting the reelection odds of incumbent politicians. We employ monthly data on individual banks to study whether Russian banks increased their ...