Haku
Viitteet 1-10 / 28
Weaker global economic activity one of the key risks
(27.01.2017)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2016
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2016
Exports will finally begin to grow in response to export demand, with net exports gradually beginning to support growth alongside domestic demand. However, one of the key risks to the forecast is a weaker-than-forecast ...
Growth potential and public finances need further strengthening
(18.12.2017)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2017
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2017
The current news on the Finnish economy is positive, and the outlook has improved. Economic growth has continued and is now more broadly based than before. Exports and corporate investment are both growing, in addition to ...
Assessment of public finances in December 2016
(27.01.2017)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2016
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2016
Finland's fiscal situation is challenging. The general government deficit is still high, and public debt is on an upward trend. Attainment of more balanced public finances is hampered not only by high unemployment-related ...
How to explain errors in budget balance forecasts in euro area countries? Empirical evidence based on real-time data
(17.06.2016)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2016
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2016
The aim of this study is to explore budget planning in the euro area countries in 2004-2014. Our analyses are based on annual real-time data from the IMF World Economic Outlook publications. As forecasts made by different ...
Euro & talous : Suomen Pankin ajankohtaisia artikkeleita taloudesta 5/2021
(17.12.2021)
Euro & talous 5/2021
Euro & talous 5/2021
Julkisen talouden kestävyys pitkällä aikavälillä
(17.12.2021)
Euro & talous 5/2021
Euro & talous 5/2021
Pitkän aikavälin velkakestävyyttä mitataan ns. S2-indikaattorilla, joka tiivistää yhteen lukuun, kuinka paljon julkisen talouden rahoitusasemaa pitäisi korjata pysyvästi niin, ettei julkinen velka kasvaisi hallitsemattomasti ...
Kestävyysvaje aiempaa arviota suurempi
(17.12.2019)
Euro & talous 5/2019
Euro & talous 5/2019
Suomen Pankin arvion mukaan Suomen julkisen talouden kestävyysvaje on 4,7 % suhteessa BKT:hen. Kyseessä on painelaskelma, jonka tulos kuvaa julkisen velan BKT-suhteen pitkällä aikavälillä vakauttavaa julkisen talouden ...
Real-time uncertainty in budget planning : evidence from euro area countries
(15.10.2018)
Journal of Economic Policy Reform 4
Journal of Economic Policy Reform 4
Using rich panel data including potential output for euro area countries, we analyse budget balance forecasts and their errors. We find that budget balance forecasts are systematically biased and subject to mean reversion ...
Sustainability gap larger than previously projected
(17.01.2020)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2019
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2019
According to the Bank of Finland’s estimate, the sustainability gap in Finland’s general government finances is 4.7% relative to GDP. The estimate is a ‘pressure projection’ that quantifies the fiscal adjustment that ...
Bank of Finland forecast: Slowing growth in the shadow of global uncertainties
(03.07.2019)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 3/2019
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 3/2019
Finland’s economic growth will slow in the forecast period to close to its potential rate. GDP will grow 1.6% in 2019 and 1.5% in 2020. Thereafter, the pace of growth will ease to 1.3% in 2021.