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Viitteet 1-9 / 9
BOFIT Forecast for China 2016–2018 / 2
(29.09.2016)
BOFIT Forecast for China 2/2016
BOFIT Forecast for China 2/2016
Growth of the Chinese economy this year has slightly exceeded our expectations, largely due to the government’s stimulus policies. We now expect GDP to grow about 6.5 % p.a. this year. However, China’s growth outlook has ...
BOFIT Venäjä-ennuste 2016–2018 / 2
(29.09.2016)
BOFIT Venäjä-ennuste 2/2016
BOFIT Venäjä-ennuste 2/2016
Venäjän BKT on supistunut tänä vuonna vajaan prosentin vuodentakaisesta. Supistumista on lieventänyt öljyn hinnan nousu tämän vuoden mittaan ja ruplan alhaisesta kurssista aiheutunut tuonnin jyrkkä väheneminen. Ennustamme ...
Nowcasting of Russian GDP growth
(10.06.2016)
BOFIT Policy Brief 4/2016
BOFIT Policy Brief 4/2016
Statistical agencies release their preliminary estimates of quarterly GDP growth with a publication delay that ranges from four to eight weeks. Given this lack of timeliness, nowcasting methods have been developed to produce ...
BOFIT Venäjä-ennuste 2016–2018 / 1
(21.03.2016)
BOFIT Venäjä-ennuste 1/2016
BOFIT Venäjä-ennuste 1/2016
BOFIT Forecast for Russia 2016–2018 / 2
(29.09.2016)
BOFIT Forecast for Russia 2/2016
BOFIT Forecast for Russia 2/2016
Russian GDP has so far this year contracted less than one per cent from a year ago. The decline has been constrained by a notable recovery in oil prices and a large fall in imports caused by a weak ruble. We now expect ...
Nowcasting Finnish GDP growth using financial variables : a MIDAS approach
(13.05.2020)
BoF Economics Review 4/2020
BoF Economics Review 4/2020
We analyse the performance of financial market variables in nowcasting Finnish quarterly GDP growth. Especially, we assess if prediction accuracy is affected by the sampling frequency of the financial variables. Therefore, ...
BOFIT Kiina-ennuste 2016–2018 / 2
(29.09.2016)
BOFIT Kiina-ennuste 2/2016
BOFIT Kiina-ennuste 2/2016
Kiinan talous on kuluvana vuonna kasvanut valtion elvyttävän politiikan siivittämänä hieman odotettua nopeammin. BKT:n odotetaan kasvavan noin 6,5 % vuonna 2016. Kasvunäkymissä ei kuitenkaan ole tapahtunut muutoksia, vaan ...
Bank of Finland's long-run forecast framework with human capital
(16.12.2021)
BoF Economics Review 10/2021
BoF Economics Review 10/2021
Population ageing constitutes a central challenge to Finland. Understanding the Finnish economy’s likely future trajectory and the key sources of growth is important for the design of policies to counteract these adverse ...
Nowcasting the Finnish economy with a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model
(18.12.2017)
BoF Economics Review 6/2017
BoF Economics Review 6/2017
Timely and accurate assessment of current macroeconomic activity is crucial for policymakers and other economic agents. Nowcasting aims to forecast the current economic situation ahead of official data releases. We develop ...