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Nowcasting and short-term forecasting of Russian GDP with a dynamic factor model
(28.05.2015)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2015
BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2015
Real-time assessment of quarterly GDP growth rates is crucial for evaluation of economy’s current perspectives given the fact that respective data is normally subject to substantial publication delays by national statistical ...
Is China fudging its figures? Evidence from trading partner data
(15.10.2015)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 29/2015
BOFIT Discussion Papers 29/2015
How reliable are China’s GDP and other data? We address this question by using trading partner exports to China as an independent measure of its economic activity from 2000–2014. We find that the information content of ...