Haku
Viitteet 1-10 / 16
The bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation projections: a State dependent analysis
(29.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2021
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, ...
Global Uncertainty
(11.02.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2021
We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country-specific factors. We quantify the impact of GFU shocks on global output ...
Revisiting intertemporal elasticity of substitution in a sticky price model
(09.06.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2021
Macroeconomic models typically assume additively separable preferences where consumption enters the utility function in a logarithmic form. This restriction implies that consumption growth is highly sensitive to movements ...
On robustness of average inflation targeting
(21.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021
This paper considers the performance of average inflation targeting (AIT) policy in a New Keynesian model with adaptive learning agents. Our analysis raises concerns regarding robustness of AIT when agents have imperfect ...
Monetary policy rules and the effective lower bound in the Euro area
(08.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2021
We analyze the economic performance of different monetary policy strategies, or rules, in a low interest rate environment, using simulations with a DSGE model which has been estimated for the euro area. We study how often ...
Human frictions in the transmission of economic policy
(09.09.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2021
Many consumers below the top of the distribution of a representative population by cognitive abilities barely react to monetary and fiscal policies that aim to stimulate consumption and borrowing, even when they are ...
Why does risk matter more in recessions than in expansions?
(05.10.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2021
This paper uses a nonlinear vector autoregression and a non-recursive identification strategy to show that an equal-sized uncertainty shock generates a larger contraction in real activity when growth is low (as in recessions) ...
Determinacy and E-stability with interest rate rules at the zero lower bound
(15.11.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2021
We evaluate and compare alternative monetary policy rules, namely average inflation targeting, price level targeting, and traditional inflation targeting rules, in a standard New Keynesian model that features recurring, ...
Forward guidance with unanchored expectations
(31.08.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021
We study zero interest-rate policy in response to a large negative demand shock when long-run expectations can fall over time. Because falling expectations make monetary policy less effective by raising real interest rates, ...
Precision of Public Information Disclosures, Banks’ Stability and Welfare
(04.03.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2021
We study the optimal precision of public information disclosures about banks assets quality. In our model the precision of information affects banks' cost of raising funding and asset profile riskiness. In an imperfectly ...