Haku
Viitteet 11-18 / 18
Responsiveness of consumers' medium-term inflation expectations : evidence from a new euro area survey
(29.06.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2021
Using the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey, this paper investigates revisions of medium-term inflation expectations. We provide robust evidence that consumers adjust medium-term inflation views in response to changes in ...
Asymmetric effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy when rates are low
(15.03.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2023
We study asymmetric inflation effects of both conventional and unconventional monetary policy in the euro area during the period of low nominal interest rates. We find that rate cuts are inflationary also during low interest ...
News or animal spirits? Consumer confidence and economic activity: Redux
(25.04.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2023
Barsky and Sims (2012, AER) demonstrated, via indirect inference, that confidence innovations can be viewed as noisy signals about medium-term economic growth. They highlighted that the connection between confidence and ...
Inflation dynamics and forecast : frequency matters
(08.06.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2021
Policymakers and researchers see inflation characterized by cyclical fluctuations driven by changes in resource utilization and temporary shocks, around a trend influenced by inflation expectations. We study the in-sample ...
Demographic aging and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve
(26.10.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2023
I document a statistical link between old-age dependency ratios and average markups. I propose that a mechanism whereby households develop deep habits in consumption as they age could explain this feature of the data. I ...
Endogenous technology, scarring and fiscal policy
(12.12.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2022
This paper studies fiscal policy in a New Keynesian DSGE model with endogenous technology growth in which scarring can occur endogenously through hysteresis effects in TFP. Both demand- and supply-driven recessions can ...
Lower for longer under endogenous technology growth
(31.03.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2022
This paper studies monetary policy strategies under endogenous technology dynamics and low r∗. Endogenous growth strengthens the gains from make-up strategies relative to inflation targeting, especially if policy space is ...
Monetary policy rules : model uncertainty meets design limits
(19.09.2023)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2023
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2023
Optimal monetary policy studies typically rely on a single structural model and identification of model-specific rules that minimize the unconditional volatilities of inflation and real activity. In our proposed approach, ...