Haku
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Revisiting intertemporal elasticity of substitution in a sticky price model
(09.06.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2021
Macroeconomic models typically assume additively separable preferences where consumption enters the utility function in a logarithmic form. This restriction implies that consumption growth is highly sensitive to movements ...
On robustness of average inflation targeting
(21.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021
This paper considers the performance of average inflation targeting (AIT) policy in a New Keynesian model with adaptive learning agents. Our analysis raises concerns regarding robustness of AIT when agents have imperfect ...
Monetary policy rules and the effective lower bound in the Euro area
(08.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2021
We analyze the economic performance of different monetary policy strategies, or rules, in a low interest rate environment, using simulations with a DSGE model which has been estimated for the euro area. We study how often ...
Determinacy and E-stability with interest rate rules at the zero lower bound
(15.11.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2021
We evaluate and compare alternative monetary policy rules, namely average inflation targeting, price level targeting, and traditional inflation targeting rules, in a standard New Keynesian model that features recurring, ...
Forward guidance with unanchored expectations
(31.08.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021
We study zero interest-rate policy in response to a large negative demand shock when long-run expectations can fall over time. Because falling expectations make monetary policy less effective by raising real interest rates, ...
Yield curve momentum
(16.11.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2021
I analyze time series momentum along the Treasury term structure. Past bond returns predict future returns both due to autocorrelation in bond risk premia and because unexpected bond return shocks increase the premium. ...