Haku
Viitteet 1-9 / 9
Assessing U.S. aggregate fluctuations across time and frequencies
(20.02.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2019
We study the behavior of key macroeconomic variables in the time and frequency domain. For this purpose, we decompose U.S. time series into various frequency components. This allows us to identify a set of stylized facts: ...
Extreme events and optimal monetary policy
(06.02.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2018
This paper studies the implication of extreme shocks for monetary policy. The analysis is based on a small-scale New Keynesian model with sticky prices and wages where shocks are drawn from asymmetric Generalized Extreme ...
Modelling a small open economy using a wavelet-based control model
(18.10.2017)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 32/2017
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 32/2017
This paper develops a wavelet-based control system model that can be used to simulate fiscal and monetary strategies in an open economy context in the time-frequency domain. As the emphasis on real exchange rate stability ...
Intermediation in a directed search model
(26.10.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2018
We study the ability of competitive coordination service platforms (such as auction sites and real estate agents) to facilitate trade in a directed search model where buyers have unit demands and each seller only has one ...
Are fiscal multipliers estimated with proxy-SVARs robust?
(13.07.2020)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2020
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2020
How large are government spending and tax multipliers? The fiscal proxy-SVAR literature provides heterogeneous estimates, depending on which proxies - fiscal or non-fiscal - are used to identify fiscal shocks. We reconcile ...
Forecasting expected and unexpected losses
(21.12.2020)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 18/2020
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 18/2020
Extending a standard credit-risk model illustrates that a single factor can drive both expected losses and the extent to which they may be exceeded in extreme scenarios, ie “unexpected losses.” This leads us to develop a ...
Predicting relative forecasting performance : An empirical investigation
(08.11.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 23/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 23/2018
The relative performance of forecasting models changes over time. This empirical observation raises two questions: is the relative performance itself predictable? If so, can it be exploited to improve forecast accuracy? ...
Paradise lost? A brief history of DSGE macroeconomics
(07.11.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 22/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 22/2018
Since the Global Financial Crisis, academic economists and policymakers have had to deal with uncomfortable questions about the quality of their models and the state of macroeconomics as a profession. This note offers a ...
The power of forward guidance and the fiscal theory of the price level
(29.10.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 21/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 21/2018
Standard New Keynesian models predict implausibly large and favorable responses of inflation and output to expansionary forward guidance on interest rates. We find that the introduction of permanent or recurring active ...