Haku
Viitteet 11-20 / 299
The KTKV model of the economics department of the Bank of Finland
(19.06.1988)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/1988
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/1988
This is a report on an updated version of the KTKV-model of Bank of Finland's Economics Department. The model was originally designed in the early 80's for the forecasting of short-term international economic developments. ...
Testing the Q theory of investment in the frequency domain
(20.12.2016)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 32/2016
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 32/2016
We revisit the empirical performance of the Q theory of investment, explicitly taking into account the frequency dependence of investment, Tobin’s Q, and cash flow. The time series are decomposed into orthogonal components ...
Conditional risk and predictability of Finnish stock returns
(28.10.1992)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 31/1992
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 31/1992
This paper studies the driving forces of predictable variation in Finnish stock returns. The dynamics of Ferson and Harvey's (1991) methodology are extended and applied within the Sharpe-Lintner CAPM. We find that market ...
Political changes increase uncertainty surrounding global economic outlook
(27.01.2017)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2016
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 5/2016
The global economy is envisaged to grow at a pace of well over 3% in 2017–2019, i.e. slightly faster than in 2016. World trade growth will accelerate during the forecast period, but will remain slow relative to GDP, as in ...
Formation of inflation expectations in turbulent times : Can ECB manage inflation expectations of professional forecasters?
(28.06.2017)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2017
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2017
This paper studies the formation of inflation expectations in the euro area. We first analyse the forecast accuracy of ECB inflation projections relative to private sector forecasts. Then, using the ECB Survey of Professional ...
Forecasting the equity risk premium with frequency-decomposed predictors
(03.01.2017)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2017
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2017
We show that the out-of-sample forecast of the equity risk premium can be signi ficantly improved by taking into account the frequency-domain relationship between the equity risk premium and several potential predictors. ...
Leading indicators of systemic banking crises: Finland in a panel of EU countries
(16.06.2014)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2014
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2014
This paper investigates leading indicators of systemic banking crises in a panel of 11 EU countries, with a particular focus on Finland. We use quarterly data from 1980Q1 to 2013Q2, in order to create a large number of ...
How to explain errors in budget balance forecasts in euro area countries? Empirical evidence based on real-time data
(17.06.2016)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2016
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2016
The aim of this study is to explore budget planning in the euro area countries in 2004-2014. Our analyses are based on annual real-time data from the IMF World Economic Outlook publications. As forecasts made by different ...
How informative are aggregated inflation expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
(24.05.2016)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2016
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2016
This study examines aggregated short- and long-term inflation expectations in the unbalanced panel of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters. The focus of the study is on heterogeneity of expectations and changing panel ...
Väliennuste : Talouskasvu tyrehtyy energiakriisiin
(15.09.2022)
Euro & talous. Analyysi
Euro & talous. Analyysi
Talouden suhdanne heikkenee Suomessa vahvan alkuvuoden jälkeen. Energiakriisi ja inflaation kiihtyminen ovat kasvattaneet taantuman uhkaa, ja talouden arvioidaan supistuvan lievästi ensi vuonna. Suhdanteen heikkeneminen ...