Haku
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Modern pandemics : Recession and recovery
(03.07.2020)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 16/2020
BOFIT Discussion Papers 16/2020
We examine the immediate effects and bounce-back from six modern health crises: 1968 Flu, SARS (2003), H1N1 (2009), MERS (2012), Ebola (2014), and Zika (2016). Time-series models for a large cross-section of countries ...
Exchange rate fluctuations and the financial channel in emerging economies
(30.08.2021)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 11/2021
BOFIT Discussion Papers 11/2021
This paper assesses the financial channel of exchange rate fluctuations for emerging countries and the link to the conventional trade channel. We analyze whether the effective exchange rate affects GDP growth, the domestic ...
Trade collapse during the covid-19 crisis and the role of demand composition
(21.09.2021)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2021
BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2021
We examine the role of demand composition in explaining the trade collapse and recovery during the ongoing covid-19 crisis. We apply an import-intensity-adjusted measure of demand to examineimport trends in 40 advanced and ...
Trade conflicts and credit supply spillovers : Evidence from the Nobel Peace Prize trade shock
(21.10.2022)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2022
BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2022
In this paper, we examine how a trade conflict’s impact on the real economy can be amplified by financial intermediaries. After the Norwegian Nobel Peace Prize Committee awarded the 2010 Nobel Peace Prize to Chinese dissident ...
The US–China phase one trade deal : An economic analysis of the managed trade agreement
(20.01.2022)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2022
BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2022
In light of the recent tit-for-tat trade dispute between China and the US, interest in quantifying the effects of the so-called phase one agreement has risen. To this end, the paper quantifies the impact of the asymmetric ...
Modeling semiconductor export restrictions and the US-China trade conflict
(23.11.2022)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2022
BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2022
The semiconductor industry stands at the center of the intensifying Sino-American trade conflict. Employing a multi-country, multi-sector general equilibrium modeling framework with imperfect competition and heterogeneous ...
High-priority battlefield items and television sets : How sanctions reduced Russians’ access to goods
(27.02.2024)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 3/2024
BOFIT Discussion Papers 3/2024
We examine Russian imports since a coalition of countries imposed sanctions on exports to Russia. As Russia no longer publishes detailed statistics on foreign trade, we rely on export data from its largest trading partners ...
China’s macroeconomic policies and spillover effects
(26.09.2023)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 5/2023
BOFIT Discussion Papers 5/2023
This paper provides a brief overview of China’s capital controls, external asset holdings and the real interest rate, and analyzes the quantitative effects of China’s macroeconomic policies between 2000 and 2015, including ...