Haku
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A model for predicting Finnish household loan stocks
(20.06.2022)
BoF Economics Review 4/2022
BoF Economics Review 4/2022
We propose a new Bayesian VAR model for forecasting household loan stocks in Finland. The model is designed to work as a satellite model of a larger DSGE model for the Finnish economy, the Aino 2.0 model. The forecasts ...
Economic effects of a debt-to-income constraint in Finland : Evidence from Aino 3.0 model
(28.04.2021)
BoF Economics Review 1/2021
BoF Economics Review 1/2021
We analyze the economic effects of a debt-to-income constraint for the Finnish economy. Our benchmark is a DSGE model which is designed to capture the most prominent features of the Finnish economy and is calibrated using ...
Nowcasting the Finnish economy with a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model
(18.12.2017)
BoF Economics Review 6/2017
BoF Economics Review 6/2017
Timely and accurate assessment of current macroeconomic activity is crucial for policymakers and other economic agents. Nowcasting aims to forecast the current economic situation ahead of official data releases. We develop ...