Haku
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A model for predicting Finnish household loan stocks
(20.06.2022)
BoF Economics Review 4/2022
BoF Economics Review 4/2022
We propose a new Bayesian VAR model for forecasting household loan stocks in Finland. The model is designed to work as a satellite model of a larger DSGE model for the Finnish economy, the Aino 2.0 model. The forecasts ...
Forecasting private investment in Finland using Q-theory and frequency decomposition
(26.06.2023)
BoF Economics Review 3/2023
BoF Economics Review 3/2023
We look for a forecasting model for private investments in Finland. As explanatory variables, we use different proxies of Tobin’s Q and cash flow as well as these series decomposed to different frequency components. The ...