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Real-time forecasting with a MIDAS VAR
(13.04.2015)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2015
BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2015
This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed frequency VAR framework using a stacked vector approach. Second, we integrate the mixed frequency VAR ...
An adaptive approach to forecasting three key macroeconomic variables for transitional China
(10.04.2015)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2015
BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2015
We propose the use of a local autoregressive (LAR) model for adaptive estimation and forecasting of three of China’s key macroeconomic variables: GDP growth, inflation and the 7-day interbank lending rate. The approach ...