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Assessing U.S. aggregate fluctuations across time and frequencies
(20.02.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2019
We study the behavior of key macroeconomic variables in the time and frequency domain. For this purpose, we decompose U.S. time series into various frequency components. This allows us to identify a set of stylized facts: ...
State dependence of monetary policy across business, credit and interest rate cycles
(06.09.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2019
We investigate how the business, credit and interest rate cycles affect the monetary transmission mechanism, using state-dependent local projection methods and data from 18 advanced economies. We exploit the time-series ...
U.S. Macroeconomic Policy Evaluation in an Open Economy Context using Wavelet Decomposed Optimal Control Methods
(10.07.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2019
It is widely recognized that the policy objectives of fiscal and monetary policymakers usually have different time horizons, and this feature may not be captured by traditional econometric techniques. In this paper, we ...
Does People’s Bank of China communication matter? Evidence from stock market reaction
(25.04.2019)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 9/2019
BOFIT Discussion Papers 9/2019
This paper tests whether the People's Bank of China's communication affects expectations of market participants and matters as a monetary policy instrument. For that purpose, we first rely on a computational linguistic ...
Monetary policy shocks and peer-to-peer lending in China
(05.12.2019)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 23/2019
BOFIT Discussion Papers 23/2019
This paper studies monetary policy transmission in China’s peer-to-peer lending market. Using spectral measures of causality, we explore the impacts of Chinese monetary policy shocks on China’s P2P market interest rates ...
Do we really know that U.S. monetary policy was destabilizing in the 1970s?
(11.09.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2019
The paper re-examines whether the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy was a source of instability during the Great Inflation by estimating a sticky-price model with positive trend inflation, commodity price shocks and sluggish ...
Talouskatsaus 2/2019
(21.03.2019)
Euroopan keskuspankki. Talouskatsaus 2/2019
Euroopan keskuspankki. Talouskatsaus 2/2019
Fiscal Stabilization in the United States : Lessons for Monetary Unions
(12.09.2019)
BoF Economics Review 6/2019
BoF Economics Review 6/2019
The debate about the use of fiscal instruments for macroeconomic stabilization has regained prominence in the aftermath of the Great Recession, and the experience of a monetary union equipped with fiscal shock absorbers, ...
Bank of Finland forecast: Slowing growth in the shadow of global uncertainties
(03.07.2019)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 3/2019
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 3/2019
Finland’s economic growth will slow in the forecast period to close to its potential rate. GDP will grow 1.6% in 2019 and 1.5% in 2020. Thereafter, the pace of growth will ease to 1.3% in 2021.
Low inflation and interest rates challenge central banks to review their monetary policy strategies
(15.03.2019)
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2019
Bank of Finland. Bulletin 1/2019
Monetary policy strategy specifies the key principles that a central bank adheres to in pursuit of its objective. The primary objective of the ECB is to maintain price stability. Central banks’ operating environment has ...