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Mitä on rahapolitiikan normalisointi?
(29.09.2022)
Euro & talous 3/2022
Euro & talous 3/2022
Inflaation voimakas kiihtyminen on käynnistänyt rahapolitiikan normalisoinnin, jossa rahoitusoloja kiristetään esimerkiksi nostamalla ohjauskorkoja. Keskuspankit ovat siirtymässä epätavanomaisista rahapolitiikkatoimista ...
Ruoan hinnannousu vaikuttaa pahimmin hauraisiin maihin
(20.09.2022)
Euro & talous. Blogi
Euro & talous. Blogi
Globaali ruoan hinta alkoi kasvaa syksyllä 2020 pandemian aiheuttamien kansainvälisten toimitusketjuongelmien ja maailmanlaajuisen siirtolaistyövoimapulan myötä. Vuonna 2021 ilmastonmuutoksesta johtuvat äärimmäiset ...
Euroalueen palkkapaineet kasvussa?
(04.11.2022)
Euro & talous. Blogi
Euro & talous. Blogi
Pitkään jatkunut matalan inflaation kausi on nopeasti kääntynyt tilanteeksi, jossa inflaatio on kiihtynyt ja kuluttajien ostovoima on heikentynyt. Euroalueen palkkamittarit ovat tuoreimpien tietojen mukaan osoittaneet ...
A monetary policy rule for Russia, or is it rules?
(10.02.2016)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 2/2016
BOFIT Discussion Papers 2/2016
We estimate several monetary policy rules for Russia for the period 2003–2015. We find that the traditional Taylor rule describes the conduct of monetary policy in Russia reasonably well, whether coefficients are restricted ...
What should the inflation target be? Views from 600 economists
(09.05.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2022
The bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation projections: a State dependent analysis
(29.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2021
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, ...
The pass-through to consumer prices in CIS economies: The role of exchange rates, commodities and other common factors
(04.11.2016)
BOFIT Discussion Papers 16/2016
BOFIT Discussion Papers 16/2016
This empirical study considers the pass-through of key nominal exchange rates and commodity prices to consumer prices in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), taking into account the effect of idiosyncratic and ...
Revisiting intertemporal elasticity of substitution in a sticky price model
(09.06.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2021
Macroeconomic models typically assume additively separable preferences where consumption enters the utility function in a logarithmic form. This restriction implies that consumption growth is highly sensitive to movements ...
Inflationary household uncertainty shocks
(14.02.2022)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2022
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2022
I construct a novel measure of household uncertainty based on survey data for European countries. I show that household uncertainty shocks do not universally behave like negative demand shocks. Notably, household uncertainty ...
On robustness of average inflation targeting
(21.04.2021)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021
This paper considers the performance of average inflation targeting (AIT) policy in a New Keynesian model with adaptive learning agents. Our analysis raises concerns regarding robustness of AIT when agents have imperfect ...