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Nowcasting the Finnish economy with a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model
(18.12.2017)
BoF Economics Review 6/2017
BoF Economics Review 6/2017
Timely and accurate assessment of current macroeconomic activity is crucial for policymakers and other economic agents. Nowcasting aims to forecast the current economic situation ahead of official data releases. We develop ...
Lessons learned from the world’s first CBDC
(15.09.2020)
BoF Economics Review 8/2020
BoF Economics Review 8/2020
Central banks worldwide are currently exploring so called Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC). The Avant smart card system created by the Bank of Finland in the 1990’s can be considered the world’s first CBDC and the ...
Mastering Central Bank Communication Challenges via Twitter
(20.12.2019)
BoF Economics Review 7/2019
BoF Economics Review 7/2019
This study examines the Twitter policies and use of European central banks. Almost every European central bank maintains an institutional Twitter account, but tweeting activity, tweet content and usage restrictions on ...
An unobserved components model for Finland : Estimates of potential output and NAWRU
(04.04.2019)
BoF Economics Review 2/2019
BoF Economics Review 2/2019
In this paper, we estimate a potential output model for Finland using an unobserved component model. The model builds on a production function approach, and features price and wage Phillips curves, Okun’s law and several ...
Level, distribution and long-term development of market power in Finland
(06.09.2018)
BoF Economics Review 2/2018
BoF Economics Review 2/2018
This study examines the level, distribution and development of market power in Finland between 1975 and 2016. The paper applies the methods proposed by Hall (2018a) and Hall (2018b). In contrast to some other international ...
Could corporate credit losses turn out higher than expected?
(18.08.2021)
BoF Economics Review 3/2021
BoF Economics Review 3/2021
While corporate credit losses have been low since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, their future evolution is quite uncertain. Using a forecasting model with a solid track record, we find that the baseline scenario ...
Digitaalinen keskuspankkiraha
(03.11.2017)
BoF Economics Review 4/2017
BoF Economics Review 4/2017
Keskuspankit ovat perinteisesti laskeneet liikkeeseen seteleitä yleisön käytettäviksi. Digitalisaation myötä setelit alkavat olla teknisesti vanhentunut maksuväline, ja jotkut keskuspankit ovat harkinneet vähittäismaksamiseen ...
How Effective is the Taylor rule? : Some Insights from the Time-Frequency Domain
(19.02.2020)
BoF Economics Review 1/2020
BoF Economics Review 1/2020
When the central bank sets monetary policy according to a conventional or modified Taylor rule (which is known as the Taylor Principle), does this deliver the best outcome for the macroeconomy as a whole? This question is ...
The effects of the ECB’s pandemic-related monetary policy measures
(01.09.2021)
BoF Economics Review 4/2021
BoF Economics Review 4/2021
We assess the macroeconomic impact of pandemic-related monetary policy measures of the ECB. Conditioning on counterfactual interest rate paths that would have materialised in the absence of the policies, the macroeconomic ...
Transmission of recent shocks in a labour-DSGE model with wage rigidity
(21.04.2023)
BoF Economics Review 1/2023
BoF Economics Review 1/2023
In this paper we analyze features of the recent business cycle with a New Keynesian small open economy DSGE model with labour market frictions and wage rigidity. The model complements the existing analytical tools of the ...