Haku

The current news on the Finnish economy is positive, and the outlook has improved. Economic growth has continued and is now more broadly based than before. Exports and corporate investment are both growing, in addition to ...

This paper studies the formation of inflation expectations in the euro area. We first analyse the forecast accuracy of ECB inflation projections relative to private sector forecasts. Then, using the ECB Survey of Professional ...

This study examines aggregated short- and long-term inflation expectations in the unbalanced panel of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters. The focus of the study is on heterogeneity of expectations and changing panel ...

This paper examines aggregated inflation expectations based on the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (ECB SPF). We analyse possible impacts of changing panel composition on short and long term point forecasts and ...

The relative performance of forecasting models changes over time. This empirical observation raises two questions: is the relative performance itself predictable? If so, can it be exploited to improve forecast accuracy? ...

Epävarmuus maailmantalouden tilasta kasvoi elo-syyskuussa. Huolet liittyvät erityisesti Kiinaan, jonka kasvun hidastuminen on hermostuttanut markkinoita. Suomen Pankin ennusteessa maailmantalouden kasvu on 3,0 % vuonna ...

Suomen Pankki ennustaa maailmantalouden kasvavan 2,8 % vuonna 2016. Tästä kasvu ripeytyy vain hieman 3,2 prosenttiin vuosina 2017–2018. Kasvun kiihtyminen kuvastaa taantumasta kärsivien nousevien talouksien toipumista. ...

Maailmantalous kasvaa vuonna 2017 laaja-alaisesti ja ripeästi. Suomen Pankki ennustaa maailmantalouden kasvun voimistuvan tänä vuonna 3,5 prosenttiin ja pysyvän selvästi yli 3 prosentin vauhdissa myös vuosina 2018–2019. ...

Uncertainty about the condition of the global economy increased in August–September. Concerns relate particularly to China, whose decelerating growth has unnerved the markets. In the Bank of Finland forecast, global growth ...

The relative performances of forecasting models change over time. This empirical observation raises two questions. First, is the relative performance itself predictable? Second, if so, can it be exploited in order to improve ...