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Price level targeting with evolving credibility
(23.02.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2018
We examine global dynamics under learning in a nonlinear New Keynesian model when monetary policy uses price-level targeting and compare it to inflation targeting. Domain of attraction of the targeted steady state gives a ...
Assessing U.S. aggregate fluctuations across time and frequencies
(20.02.2019)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2019
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2019
We study the behavior of key macroeconomic variables in the time and frequency domain. For this purpose, we decompose U.S. time series into various frequency components. This allows us to identify a set of stylized facts: ...
The enduring link between demography and inflation
(06.04.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2018
Demographic shifts, such as population ageing, have been suggested as possible explanations for the recent decade-long spell of low inflation. We identify age structure effects on inflation from cross-country variation in ...
Extreme events and optimal monetary policy
(06.02.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2018
This paper studies the implication of extreme shocks for monetary policy. The analysis is based on a small-scale New Keynesian model with sticky prices and wages where shocks are drawn from asymmetric Generalized Extreme ...
High trend inflation and passive monetary detours
(26.02.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2018
According to the long-run Taylor principle (Davig and Leeper, 2007), a central bank can deviate to a passive monetary policy and still obtain equilibrium uniqueness if a sufficiently aggressive monetary policy is expected ...
Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates
(21.12.2017)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 36/2017
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 36/2017
Prevailing explanations of the decline in real interest rates since the early 1980s are premised on the notion that real interest rates are driven by variations in desired saving and investment. But based on data stretching ...
The age-structure–inflation puzzle
(02.04.2016)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2016
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2016
We uncover a puzzling link between low-frequency inflation and the population age-structure: the young and old (dependents) are inflationary whereas the working age population is disinflationary. The relationship is not ...
Measuring the effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy in the euro area
(29.05.2018)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2018
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2018
I estimate the effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy in the euro area by using a factor-augmented vector autoregression.I complement the standard monetary policy analysis using the short rate with ...
Comparing inflation and price level targeting: the role of forward guidance and transparency
(07.04.2015)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2015
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2015
We examine global dynamics under learning in New Keynesian models with price level targeting that is subject to the zero lower bound. The role of forward guidance is analyzed under transparency about the policy rule. ...
Controlling inflation with switching monetary and fiscal policies: expectations, fiscal guidance and timid regime changes
(05.05.2017)
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2017
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2017
Inflation depends on both monetary and fiscal policies and on how agents believe that these policies will evolve in the future. Can monetary policy control inflation, when both monetary and fiscal policies are allowed to ...